^ Original-Research: MLP SE - from NuWays AG
14.11.2025 / 10:14 CET/CEST Dissemination of a Research, transmitted by EQS News - a service of EQS Group. The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this research. The result of this research does not constitute investment advice or an invitation to conclude certain stock exchange transactions.
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Classification of NuWays AG to MLP SE
Company Name: MLP SE ISIN: DE0006569908
Reason for the research: Update Recommendation: BUY from: 14.11.2025 Target price: EUR 12.50 Target price on sight of: 12 months Last rating change: Analyst: Henry Wendisch
Q3 review: PW, but healthy and de-risked core business
Having reduced its FY'25 EBIT guidance last week, yesterday's Q3 figures show a healthy corebusiness. In detail:
MLP reduced its FY'25e EBIT guidance last week to EUR 90-100m (before: EUR 100-110m) due to a mixof two main reasons: (1) a low-double digit EUR m amount of performance fees was baked into the original guidance. In Q3,MLP recorded performance fees of only EUR 2.8m (vs. EUR 17m in Q3'24) and thus only EUR 4.8m per 9M(vs. EUR 26m in 9M'24). As we now expect EUR 6.5m in FY'25 performance fees (Q4: EUR 1.7m), thepreviously anticipated figure seems out of reach. (2) the turn around in its real estate development segment Deutschland.Immobilien (DI) was initiallyexpected to provide a EUR 12m incremental EBIT tailwind in FY'25e, but falls short of expectations. Although Q3 showed a slightly positive EUR 0.4m EBIT (9M: EUR -3m), the current development projectsshould not be sufficient to reach a positive EBIT for FY'25e, in our view. Therefore, we now estimatethis segment to deliver EUR -11m in FY'25e EBIT (prev.: EUR 0m), which also includes an estimatedgoodwill impairment of EUR 6m.
RE development to be completely abandonded. Following several years of uncertainty and havingexperienced a slowdown in demand after the sharp increase in interest rates in 2022, MLP hasdecided to completely abandon any new RE development projects, where MLP carries thedevelopment risk. Only existing projects will be finished. This decision might imply an additionalimpairment of DI's remaining goodwill of up to EUR 11.7m in Q4'25e. On the positive side, MLP therefore substantially derisks its business and thus upgraded its FY'28e mid-term EBIT targetrange to EUR 140-155m (prev. EUR 140-150m).
Q3 shows healthy core business. Total sales arrived 2% lower at EUR 244m, however, underlyingsales (excl. performance fees) grew by 3% yoy in Q3, showing the intact core business. Moreimportantly, the Q3 EBIT of EUR 18.4m improved against a high comparable base (Q3'24: EUR 17.8m witha strong performance fee effect). In turn, this highlights a strong improvement in underlyingprofitability (EBIT ex performance fee effect), which has expanded by 146% yoy to EUR 16.5m with a4pp yoy higher underlying EBIT margin. Specifically, the largest profitability driver was the bankingbusiness, showing a stellar 29% EBIT margin (+8.7pp yoy), but also supported by marginimprovements at DOMCURA (+9.5pp yoy) and Financial Consulting (+2.9pp yoy).
In light of this, the magnitude of MLP's negative share price development following the guidance cut,seems unjustified in our view, especially in light of the solid underlying performance shown in Q3.MLP's core business remains well intact and the company's value should not be derived from REdevelopment and performance fees, in our view. Therefore, the share price drop offers a buyingopportunity, which is why we recommend to BUY with a slightly lower PT of EUR 12.50 (old: EUR 13.00),based on FCFY'26e.
You can download the research here: https://eqs-cockpit.com/c/fncls.ssp?u=c6c9bcc56cefad96a27e311436184329 For additional information visit our website: https://www.nuways-ag.com/research-feed
Contact for questions: NuWays AG - Equity Research Web: www.nuways-ag.com Email: research@nuways-ag.com LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag Adresse: Mittelweg 16-17, 20148 Hamburg, Germany ++++++++++ Diese Meldung ist keine Anlageberatung oder Aufforderung zum Abschluss bestimmter Börsengeschäfte. Offenlegung möglicher Interessenskonflikte nach § 85 WpHG beim oben analysierten Unternehmen befinden sich in der vollständigen Analyse. ++++++++++
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2230108 14.11.2025 CET/CEST
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Quelle: dpa-Afx